What are the chances of someone unboxing two unusuals in a row?

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5 years ago#1
I'm terrible with complicated probability, but if there was a 1/100 chance of unboxing an unusual, there would be a 1/100 chance of unboxing an unusual straight after, giving a 1/10,000 chance of two unusuals in a row. But also they could get an unusual before, which just confuses things for me. Anyway, I'm sure it's possible, do you think/have heard of anyone who has done this?
5 years ago#2
50%

either you get it, or you dont
http://i.imgur.com/sjEvM.png http://i.imgur.com/KuaTA.png
http://i.imgur.com/q0N8t.png http://i.imgur.com/tiY6i.png
5 years ago#3
1/100 + 1/100 = 2/100 = 1/50
http://i.imgur.com/6M0wD.png
#4
(message deleted)
5 years ago#5
Joint probability is always ridiculously messy. Just taking singular events as they are is much simpler.

And there is always that 50/50 yes/no situation.
5 years ago#6
It's 1/10k for any given two unboxes.

The probability trolling in this topic is rage-inducing, and therefore successful.
Do the impossible, see the invisible, Row, Row, Fight the power!
Touch the untouchable, Break the unbreakable, Row, Row, Fight the power!
5 years ago#7
The chance of getting an unusual from EACH box
1/100 = 1%

The chance of getting an unusual from EITHER box
2 * (1/100) = 2/100 = 1/50 = 2%

The chance of getting an unusual from BOTH boxes
(1/100) ^ 2 = 1/10,000 = .01%
5 years ago#8
If it was just x2 for either box, if you kept unboxing the probability would be more than one.
5 years ago#9
My brother got 2 unusual weapons from boxes in a row. Hate him so much
Kif: It's an emergency, sir.
Zapp Brannigan: Come back when it's a catastrophe.
5 years ago#10

From: solarlens | #009
My brother got 2 unusual weapons from boxes in a row. Hate him so much


It's Strange weapons, and you really need better reasons to "hate" people.
http://i112.photobucket.com/albums/n194/XanderKage/Bond-mythbusters.jpg
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