The Wii U only sold an estimated 149K units in November.

#11whizkid7Posted 12/9/2013 5:20:06 PM
I like how Pachter's completely random guess is a guaranteed number when he has a proven track record of being way, way off 99% of the time.
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#12Dannyson97Posted 12/9/2013 5:37:45 PM
EarthViper posted...
ManInGorillaSut posted...
Ultima_D_Strike posted...
it sold 274,179 from the 23rd to 30 November.

/topic


VGChartz

/your credibility.


We're talking about credibility in a thread about Pachter's estimates regarding a Nintendo product?

Yikes.


Vgchartz may not always be the most credible but they aren't off by large margins as some people spin it out to be.
Patcher I'm not sure what his deal is.
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#13HighOnPhazonPosted 12/9/2013 6:22:19 PM
ManInGorillaSut posted...
Ultima_D_Strike posted...
it sold 274,179 from the 23rd to 30 November.

/topic


VGChartz

/your credibility.


Patcher?

You're really not worthy of anyone's attention.
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#14ADHDguitarPosted 12/9/2013 6:28:32 PM
Are you people serious?
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#15FayeLadyPosted 12/9/2013 6:38:19 PM
Pachter, the man's name is Pachter.
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#16REAL_kielbasaPosted 12/9/2013 6:46:16 PM
Let's take a look at his past predictions:

Pachter Predictions for Wii U in Comparison to NPD:

November 2012:
450K prediction -> 425K reality
25K over-predicted (-5.55%)

December 2012:
675K prediction -> 463K reality
212K over-predicted (-31.41%)

January 2013:
125K prediction -> 57K reality
68K over-predicted (-54.40%)

February 2013:
80K prediction -> 66K reality
14K over-predicted (-17.50%)

March 2013:
55K prediction -> 68K reality
13K under-predicted (23.63%)

April 2013:
55K prediction -> 37K reality
18K over-predicted (-32.72%)

May 2013:
32K prediction -> 33K reality
1K under-predicted (3.13%)

June 2013:
38K prediction -> 42K reality
4K under-predicted (10.53%)

July 2013:
30K prediction -> 29K reality
1K over-predicted (-3.33%)

August 2013:
30K prediction -> 31K reality
1K under-predicted (3.33%)

September 2013:
55K prediction -> 95K reality
40K under-predicted (72.72%)

October 2013:
75K prediction -> 50K reality
25K over-predicted (-33.33%)


Total predicted: 1.7 million
Actual sales: 1.396 million

304k over-predicted (21.78%)


So yeah, you guys have a good point. The actual sales are probably more like 120k.
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#17HighOnPhazonPosted 12/9/2013 6:47:32 PM
Patcher, Pachter. Who cares? He's some "analyst" that is wrong 99% of the time, and rightly so, not respected by anyone except trolls, especially in this instance.

VGchartz is just as credible as this tool.
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#18kdognumba1Posted 12/9/2013 6:51:57 PM
Pachter's Wii U prediction accuracy:

November 2012:
450K prediction -> 425K reality
25K over-predicted (-5.55%)

December 2012:
675K prediction -> 463K reality
212K over-predicted (-31.41%)

January 2013:
125K prediction -> 57K reality
68K over-predicted (-54.40%)

February 2013:
80K prediction -> 66K reality
14K over-predicted (-17.50%)

March 2013:
55K prediction -> 68K reality
13K under-predicted (23.63%)

April 2013:
55K prediction -> 37K reality
18K over-predicted (-32.72%)

May 2013:
32K prediction -> 33K reality
1K under-predicted (3.13%)

June 2013:
38K prediction -> 42K reality
4K under-predicted (10.53%)

July 2013:
30K prediction -> 29K reality
1K over-predicted (-3.33%)

August 2013:
30K prediction -> 31K reality
1K under-predicted (3.33%)

September 2013:
55K prediction -> 95K reality
40K under-predicted (72.72%)

October 2013:
75K prediction -> 50K reality
25K over-predicted (-33.33%)

November 2013:
150K prediction


source: http://m.neogaf.com/showpost.php?p=93094633
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#19lowuwPosted 12/9/2013 6:56:58 PM
REAL_kielbasa posted...
Let's take a look at his past predictions:

Pachter Predictions for Wii U in Comparison to NPD:

November 2012:
450K prediction -> 425K reality
25K over-predicted (-5.55%)

December 2012:
675K prediction -> 463K reality
212K over-predicted (-31.41%)

January 2013:
125K prediction -> 57K reality
68K over-predicted (-54.40%)

February 2013:
80K prediction -> 66K reality
14K over-predicted (-17.50%)

March 2013:
55K prediction -> 68K reality
13K under-predicted (23.63%)

April 2013:
55K prediction -> 37K reality
18K over-predicted (-32.72%)

May 2013:
32K prediction -> 33K reality
1K under-predicted (3.13%)

June 2013:
38K prediction -> 42K reality
4K under-predicted (10.53%)

July 2013:
30K prediction -> 29K reality
1K over-predicted (-3.33%)

August 2013:
30K prediction -> 31K reality
1K under-predicted (3.33%)

September 2013:
55K prediction -> 95K reality
40K under-predicted (72.72%)

October 2013:
75K prediction -> 50K reality
25K over-predicted (-33.33%)


Total predicted: 1.7 million
Actual sales: 1.396 million

304k over-predicted (21.78%)


So yeah, you guys have a good point. The actual sales are probably more like 120k.


Thanks for posting this because has much as I don't care for Patcher's opinions, he has been pretty accurate with his monthly sales projections. It seems like Wii U didn't do as well as we thought, but I still think sales will continue to increase through the holidays. Also Wii U has the best lineup in 14, so I think sales will be better in 14 than 13.