The likelyhood of charcters- put to a science!

#1alien803Posted 2/14/2013 2:20:35 PM
All characters start with five points out of ten. Some things will limit or increase their likelyhood.

For example:

Tingle: 5/10
-1 not in recent games
+1 has a good game
+1 has three bad games
-1 none were released in NA
-1 hated by west
+1 Wind Waker HD

Note that this is not an actual percentage. Tingle does not have a 50% chance of getting in.

Waluigi: 5/10
-1 never been in a main series game
+2 has been in almost every spinoff
+1 was an assist trophy
-1 disliked by the west
-1 not in MK 7

Andy: 4/10
-1 no recent game
+1 reps a dead series (Sakurai said he wants to revive dead characters)
+1 possibility for the possibility of a very unique moveset (The same reason Ice Climbers got in, despite them being irrelevant and unimportant otherwise)
+1 reps a series with 13 games
-1 not in the most recent game
-1 not requested
-1 Sakurai hates guns

Megaman: 7/10
+2 possibly the most requested character for this game
-1 his series is dying
+1 Sakurai hinted at a Capcom rep for Brawl

Pacman: 4/10
+1 Namco is working on this game
+1 the most recognizable video game character ever
-1 no one on the Namco team would request him for this game
-1 not a very hype making character
-1 not requested very much

Mario: 10/10
+3 THE mascot of Nintendo
+1 been in every Smash game so far
+1 incredibly recognizable
+1 he is literally a Super Smash Brother
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#2SpunkySixPosted 2/14/2013 2:25:28 PM
Um... the most iconic video game character ever wouldn't build hype? Waluigi is disliked in the west in general?

Did you happen to get "assumption" and "science" mixed up?
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#3ViewtifulGenePosted 2/14/2013 2:30:03 PM(edited)
There is nothing scientific about this. You assigned factor weights arbitrarily. You don't even have proof that these are all factors to begin with. And observing some of the factors relies on logical leaps based on observation from internet posts.
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#4alpha-apePosted 2/14/2013 2:30:12 PM
Mewtwo:
+1: One of the most popular Pokemon
-1: Gen 1 is already heavily overrepped
-2: Was cut from Brawl
+2: One of the most demanded characters
+1: Is going to appear in a movie

6/10
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#5dehsooPosted 2/14/2013 2:34:05 PM(edited)
Sora 8/10
+1 Has been in a recent 3DS game
+1 Popular
+1 Large fanbase for Kingdom Hearts
+1 Large moveset
+1 Protagonist of his series
+1 The most likely disney candidate
+1 Had a very popular GBA game that sold well

Cloud 8/10
+1 Most likely FF character to make it in
+1 Well known hero
+1 Large moveset
+1 Very popular
+1 Square has made many games for nintendo platforms
+1 Stared in a very popular game
+1 Likely to get in if Sora is in
-1 Might be too powerful/ high tier
#6ViewtifulGenePosted 2/14/2013 2:35:53 PM
Superman:
-Weak to Kryptonite -1
-Superman 64 not on Virtual Console -1
-Fanbase spans more than 5 decades +52
-Is literally a Super Man. +14

64/10
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#7LegendofLegaiaPosted 2/14/2013 2:42:58 PM
SpunkySix posted...
Waluigi is disliked in the west in general?


That's what Wikipedia seems to believe, anyway (I don't think they specifically refer to the west, but I'm pretty sure most of their sources for this part of the article come from America).

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Waluigi#Reception
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#8Kooky_von_KoopaPosted 2/14/2013 2:49:16 PM
LegendofLegaia posted...
SpunkySix posted...
Waluigi is disliked in the west in general?


That's what Wikipedia seems to believe, anyway (I don't think they specifically refer to the west, but I'm pretty sure most of their sources for this part of the article come from America).

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Waluigi#Reception


The facts go against what his supporters say.
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#9victinivcreate1Posted 2/14/2013 2:50:44 PM
dehsoo posted...
Sora 3/10
+1 Has been in a recent 3DS game
-3 The LEAST popular candidate for a 3rd Pparty
+3 Large fanbase for Kingdom Hearts
+1 Large moveset
+1 Protagonist of his series
-1 Not the most likely disney candidate (uh people recognize Ralph more than Sora sorry)
+1 Had a very popular GBA game that sold well

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#10dehsooPosted 2/14/2013 2:54:15 PM
victinivcreate1 posted...


uh people recognize Ralph more than Sora sorry



no