Rate Their Chances Day 23: Tatsuya Suou

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SmashStrike
Posted 9/28/2011 8:51:31 PM
Welcome to Rate Their Chances Persona 4: The Ultimate in Mayonaka Arena Edition!

Ryoji got 4 votes with an average of 27.51%. This gets him into 8th place.

The closest prediction was darkzero16 with 24%. They gets 10 noms today.

-History-
For those of you who were never on a Smash Bros board and are not familiar with Rate Their Chances, it is a series where each user gives a percentage on how likely they think a character is to make in a fighting game. Many users ran the long-lasting series on the Brawl board over a span of a year. 7 of the top ten percentages made Brawl in some form or another. Being that I was a regular poster on the pre Brawl boards and now that one of my favorite game series is churning out a fighter, I thought this would a cool to set it up here.

-Rules-
1. A user can rate a character's chances to make P4U on a scale of 0.01% to 99.99%. If a score is way off the mean, such as a score of 99.99% for Desk Cleaning Girl, the score will be scratched so it doesn't throw off the real average. It is encouraged to explain why you give a score, but you don't have to if you really don't want to. Never post an extremely high or low percentage in order to "balance the score". It defeats the purpose of the topics.
2. Every user can have five nominations a day, which they can use all on one character (like +5 Elizabeth) or spread them out over more than one character (like +2 Elizabeth, +2 Theodore, +1 Margaret). The characters each user nominates must be a 1st party or 2nd party character who has appeared in an Atlus game in the past. They also must have originated in a video game. Additionally, a user can attempt to predict the collective average that the On Deck character the next day will receive from all the ratings. The user who predicts the closest to the actual score will get 10 nominations instead of 5.
3. Do not fight or flame in this topic. Do not start arguments either or add to them. This is a fun thing that should be enjoyed.
4. If you don't give the character a rating without giving a good reason why you're unable to (i.e. not knowing who the character is would be a GOOD reason), your nominations will not count.

Example Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/633202-super-smash-bros-wii-u/60458731

-Confirmed Characters-
Yu Narukami
Aigis
Yosuke Hanamura
Chie Satonaka
Yukiko Amagi
Kanji Tatsumi
Teddie

Source: http://www.andriasang.com/e/galleries/2011/09/08/persona_4_ultimate_screens/

-Leaderboard-

-Top Five-

1. Naoto Shirogane: 97.50%
2. Elizabeth: 63%
3. Akihiko Sanada: 45.63%
4. Yukari Takeba: 45%
5. Margaret: 44%

6. Mitsuru Kirijo: 36.11%
7. Junpei Iori: 34.07%
8. Ryoji Mochizuki: 27.51%
9. Shadow Protagonist (P3): 27.42%
10. Marie/Mary (P4G): 26.21%
11. Protagonist (Persona 3): 24%
12. Tohru Adachi: 19.45%
13. Izanami: 17.77%
14. Ken Amada: 16%
15. Fox: 15.16%
16. Takaya Sakaki: 12.67%
17. Koromaru: 12.20%
18. Nanako Dojima: 9.50%
19. Vincent Brooks (Catherine): 8.42%
20. Raidou Kuzunoha the XIV: 8.20%
21. Mitsuo Kubo: 5.30%
22. Igor: 2.03%

Character of the Day: Tatsuya Suou
Bio: http://megamitensei.wikia.com/wiki/Tatsuya_Suou

On Deck: Maya Amano

The Nominations List:

Nyarlathotep - 17
Taro Namatame - 16
P1MC - 13
Lisa Silverman - 9
Eikichi Mishina - 8
Ryotaro Dojima - 7
Jimenez (Strange Journey) - 5
Mary (Soul Hackers) - 3
Demi-Fiend - 2
Alice - 1
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Your twisted logic is that of an immature, egotistic brat! - Naoto Shirogane
zeik56
Posted 9/28/2011 8:58:55 PM
I don't know, 5% maybe. It seems unlikely that P2 characters will even be in it, but even if they were I don't think Tatsuya would even be an option, given the end of EP. But if they felt like dipping into P2 characters for some non-canon DLC he seems like a potential choice.
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A second ant? No, no, it's his brother, avenging the death of his twin.
I'm going to follow him home.....kill his whole family.
~ Space Ghost
naiba_lucian
Posted 9/29/2011 3:26:56 AM
5%. I really don't have anything to add, zeik already summed it up perfectly.

5 noms for P1MC.

22.5% prediction for Maya.
darkzero16
Posted 9/29/2011 7:07:29 PM
two wins in a row......why am i happy about this? XD

anyway 0.1% mostly summed up. Honestly I dont see any P2 characters in this game even with P2P being out (thus probably raising popularity of the characters)


Noms

+5 for
Nyarlathotep

+5 for
Demi-fiend

Predict 7% for Maya
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"Imagine the ****storm that would ensue if Nocturne was titled "Lucifer's Call" in the US like it was in Europe"LordFaust
SmashStrike
(Topic Creator)
Posted 9/29/2011 10:07:02 PM
2%. No comment.

Predict 5% for Maya. Nom P1MC +5.
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Your twisted logic is that of an immature, egotistic brat! - Naoto Shirogane