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It will sell better than any other game in this year so yes
By that logic Modern Warfare 3 was GOTY 2011, and I dont want to live on this planet anymore...
Anyway, it warrants a nomination by the looks of things, enough change in setting and themes, along with new ideas and a sense of being a game on its own (we all know MW3 was a copy paste MW2)
Id be betting on it winning shooter of the year, narrowly beating Halo 4, and possibly best multiplayer. AC3 gets my bet on being the best big budget game of 2012. --- Wants sequels to Timesplitters, Amped 2, Mirrors Edge, Sleeping Dogs, Burnout and Need For Speed Underground.