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Goodra is frozen solid and cannot move! Goodra is frozen solid and cannot move!

#1Aura_SpherePosted 11/16/2013 12:38:51 PM
2CSG-WWWW-WWW2-VK38

I'm on Battle 33 in the Battle Maison with a team of MegaMawile, Gyarados, and Goodra when I come across an Eeveelution trainer. Their Vaporeon ends up freezing my Goodra, who ends up not being able to move for 13 straight turns. Count them. From turn 12 to turn 25, Goodra is stuck in ice.

Now, the chances of a Pokemon thawing out from Frozen status are 25%. Since Goodra was frozen for 13 turns...

(1/5)^13 = 8.19e-10 = .000000000819%

Were my chances of possibly thawing out at that point. Damn.
#2TheEpicBroPosted 11/16/2013 12:39:55 PM
What moveset does your Goodra run?
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3DS FC: 4553-9974-8764
"When life gives you lemons, chances are God has forsaken you. You never want lemons."
#3MitigwaPosted 11/16/2013 12:41:20 PM
Hax Maison
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FC 5086-1299-4589 Y venomoth combee and volbeat
#4Traitor_KratosPosted 11/16/2013 12:41:39 PM
Aura_Sphere posted...
2CSG-WWWW-WWW2-VK38

I'm on Battle 33 in the Battle Maison with a team of MegaMawile, Gyarados, and Goodra when I come across an Eeveelution trainer. Their Vaporeon ends up freezing my Goodra, who ends up not being able to move for 13 straight turns. Count them. From turn 12 to turn 25, Goodra is stuck in ice.

Now, the chances of a Pokemon thawing out from Frozen status are 25%. Since Goodra was frozen for 13 turns...

(1/5)^13 = 8.19e-10 = .000000000819%

Were my chances of possibly thawing out at that point. Damn.


25% = 1/4. Not 1/5. But still extremely unlikely and unfortunate.
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3DS FC 4270-1321-7120
#5meestermjPosted 11/16/2013 12:41:45 PM
It doesn't quite work like that. Every turn it does a check to see if you unfreeze. In that check you have a 25% chance to unfreeze.

It's not really a multiplicative thing. Being frozen longer doesn't make your chances worse for thawing out.
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pokemon White FC: 2022 0983 2469
#6Aura_Sphere(Topic Creator)Posted 11/16/2013 12:42:56 PM
Traitor_Kratos posted...
Aura_Sphere posted...
2CSG-WWWW-WWW2-VK38

I'm on Battle 33 in the Battle Maison with a team of MegaMawile, Gyarados, and Goodra when I come across an Eeveelution trainer. Their Vaporeon ends up freezing my Goodra, who ends up not being able to move for 13 straight turns. Count them. From turn 12 to turn 25, Goodra is stuck in ice.

Now, the chances of a Pokemon thawing out from Frozen status are 25%. Since Goodra was frozen for 13 turns...

(1/5)^13 = 8.19e-10 = .000000000819%

Were my chances of possibly thawing out at that point. Damn.


25% = 1/4. Not 1/5. But still extremely unlikely and unfortunate.


Ahhh, I meant 20%, not 25%.
#7A_Sevenfold6661Posted 11/16/2013 12:43:18 PM
That's what you get for using Goodra.
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3DS FC: 4914-3026-5799 In game name: Katie.
#8darkshadowspawnPosted 11/16/2013 12:43:23 PM
Kinda like when I was fighting the Elite 4. My Lapras had Ice Beam freeze every single Pokémon that Drasna sent out. At one point (against Druddigon), it went Ice Beam (freeze), Full Restore, Ice Beam (freeze), Full Restore, Ice Beam (freeze)...it ended when IB crit. What are the odds of having multiple freezes like that (froze Dragalge, Druddigon multiple times, and Noivern)?
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My great weakness is the love I have for the fair sex, and pretty much all my trouble comes from or can be traced to that charming source.
- Myles Keogh
#9Aura_Sphere(Topic Creator)Posted 11/16/2013 12:44:05 PM
A_Sevenfold6661 posted...
That's what you get for using Goodra.


I'm sorry for not using the cheap Entrainment Durant.
#10Edgemaster70000Posted 11/16/2013 12:44:47 PM
This is one of the reasons I don't particularly care about Battle Maison records. All the game does is simply chest enormously when it thinks you've gone too far.
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XBL GT: ReptileAssassin. Youtube: http://www.youtube.com/user/Emerl18
There's a point when trolling stops being funny.....When it starts.