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Poll: How long until we see Viable Consumer Quantum Computers?

#1chase1234lifePosted 11/24/2013 8:48:44 PM
How long until viable consume quantum computers enter the market? - Results (97 votes)
5-10 years (The technology is there, the implementation is the major obstacle)
4.12% (4 votes)
4
11-15 years (Quantum Computers have made great progress, but the storage issue is a large one)
14.43% (14 votes)
14
16-25 years (Unless the "qubit" decay issues are fixed for room temperature, they are far too unstable)
23.71% (23 votes)
23
26-50 years (The current standard is sufficient for a long period of time; and Quantum tech has a way to go)
21.65% (21 votes)
21
51-100 years (Beyond a major breakthrough, it will be long before we see Quantum computing overtake current methods)
14.43% (14 votes)
14
100+ years (Current standards are constantly improving, and due to our reliance upon them, adoption will take forever)
7.22% (7 votes)
7
Never (The technology, though interesting, will never be viable for regular consumers)
7.22% (7 votes)
7
Never (The technology, though within reach, will never overtake conventional bit technology)
5.15% (5 votes)
5
Other (e.g., It's possible to see Quantum Processors but not things such as storage [explain in post])
2.06% (2 votes)
2
This poll is now closed.
What do you guys think, and any takes on the future of "bit" computing vs. "qubit" computing?
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#2TheC0ndemnedOnePosted 11/24/2013 8:56:21 PM
I voted for 16-25, but wasn't thinking of the "enter the market" part. If we're talking actually competing against regular computers, then I don't know. Maybe closer to 50 or more?
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#3Orestes417Posted 11/24/2013 8:58:15 PM
The real question you should be asking is how long it'll take a software ecosystem to exist to make it worth using outside of niche markets
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#4MaKhaosPosted 11/24/2013 9:00:22 PM
Won't be a need when the world goes Cyberpunk. You would only need to shut the down the existing ones to cripple the world infrastructure and the invisible hands of the Illuminati.
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#5chase1234life(Topic Creator)Posted 11/24/2013 9:04:05 PM
TheC0ndemnedOne posted...
I voted for 16-25, but wasn't thinking of the "enter the market" part. If we're talking actually competing against regular computers, then I don't know. Maybe closer to 50 or more?


That's the most important part to me. We do already have some viable quantum processors, and even some quantum storage devices (though you could probably count them on your hands and feet). So the technology exists, and Google and NASA seem to be early adopters of it; which bodes well.

However, the true test is getting it into the homes of (maybe not the "average") consumer. So I'm leaving the "market" a little open-ended, but at least at an in-home system a consumer could buy (even if it may be exorbitantly expensive) and make every-day use of.
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#6Bazooka_PenguinPosted 11/24/2013 9:07:04 PM
I give it about 30-40 years
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#7steveboblarryPosted 11/24/2013 9:07:42 PM
MaKhaos posted...
Won't be a need when the world goes Cyberpunk. You would only need to shut the down the existing ones to cripple the world infrastructure and the invisible hands of the Illuminati.


yeh ghost in the shell would become a reality
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#8WyzeGyePosted 11/25/2013 12:19:39 AM
If google is involved with something, it's on the fast track to consumer accessibility. So the 16-25 year window seems most likely.
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#9chase1234life(Topic Creator)Posted 11/25/2013 10:13:31 AM
WyzeGye posted...
If google is involved with something, it's on the fast track to consumer accessibility. So the 16-25 year window seems most likely.


Though that is my feeling, I felt the same way about their fiber optic service, which was a much more feasible and "ready" technological accomplishment. It's been almost 5 years since the announcement and it feels like there's been next to no progress. And that's something that should have been widely available NOW. So, though something to consider, it's not a true gauge of implementation.
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#10SpacewhizguyPosted 11/25/2013 2:10:27 PM
WyzeGye posted...
If google is involved with something, it's on the fast track to consumer accessibility. So the 16-25 year window seems most likely.

Lol wut? The only thing they've made more accessible is search. They have a pretty poor track record when it comes to innovating in the consumer space.
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