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Well, as long as sword of seals doesn't break I think Roy stands a chance. I mean, that weapon is buns.
Ike is doing 19 dmg per hit, Roy is doing 14 per hit, and neither are doubling. Ike will 4hko roy, and Roy will 5hko Ike. So really it depends on who hits first. Although the healing properties of the SoS might just be Roy's saving grace.