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Equal credibility. Paul Gale obviously DID have a source, since he leaked the game's existence and several details months in advance. On the other hand, TheMink successfully called every character in the beta leak, including Evil Cole, new Dante, and Raiden. And if you've been paying attention, nothing in their hints contradict each other, and both point to Lightning's inclusion.
So what do you suppose his jetski hint and his old school t shirt hint refer to? I'm not trying to pass my guesses as facts but i think he is trying to refer to crash.