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MM am I doing it wrong? or just extremely unlucky?

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  3. MM am I doing it wrong? or just extremely unlucky?

User Info: PaladinAlik

PaladinAlik
3 years ago#1
so 2 5 IV parents (0 in speed) one is JP one is from my game but had lineage from a JP poke.

I have done about 1100 eggs at this point and not a single shiny x.x

My friend got a shiny lapras on his 8th egg ><* (I take great pleasure in destroying it with my regular perfect IV Lapras)

So am I missing something at this point? the only thing I can figure is that the parents of one of the honedges im breeding was from a JP poke, granted I bred that parent on my own and is native to my game, but I wonder if it coming from a JP honedge is affecting the process now.

I went into a battle with my friend and when he saw my egg count he literally spazzed out lol

so yeah...... extremely bad luck or doing it wrong? currently at 2081 eggs hatched, but I started at around 1000ish
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User Info: Flow_149

Flow_149
3 years ago#2
unfortunately no. keep going you'll get it eventually. I hope. >_>
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User Info: Number43

Number43
3 years ago#3
I'm pretty sure the odds are still less than 1 in a thousand, so only moderately unlucky.

User Info: BlissedIgnoranc

BlissedIgnoranc
3 years ago#4
MM chances in X/Y are roughly 1 in 600. So yes, unlucky. But keep in mind the 1/600 isn't cumulative. It's 1 in 600 for EVERY egg you hatch.
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User Info: kirbydude385

kirbydude385
3 years ago#5
MM without shiny charm gives you a 1/1024 chance.
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User Info: Gameandwatch2

Gameandwatch2
3 years ago#6
kirbydude385 posted...
MM without shiny charm gives you a 1/1024 chance.


That was back in gen 5.
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User Info: PaladinAlik

PaladinAlik
3 years ago#7
think it may be worthwhile to just finish the dex again and then hunt for shiny breeding with the charm?

Ive only lost my jirachi and genesect since last time i finished the dex, and Im sure ill be able to get my hands back on those soon. I have a 9 hr car ride tmr guess ill try and get that shiny again :/
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User Info: ShaunageAU

ShaunageAU
3 years ago#8
Neither Jirachi nor Genesect are needed for the charm.
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User Info: PaladinAlik

PaladinAlik
3 years ago#9
sweets then ill just be collecting that charm the moment the bank is released (still resnagging the genesect and jirachi.....)
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User Info: Inuyashafan6o48

Inuyashafan6o48
3 years ago#10
BlissedIgnoranc posted...
MM chances in X/Y are roughly 1 in 600. So yes, unlucky. But keep in mind the 1/600 isn't cumulative. It's 1 in 600 for EVERY egg you hatch.

Assuming this rounds to 1/600 and assuming the 1100 comment in the first post is true, we can easily calculate the chance of this occurrence as (599/600)^1100 or ~16%.

In other words, there's about a 16% chance that this would happen.

Really, if this continues into the 2500 egg range (1.5% chance of failure), then you might want to start asking questions or just wonder if you have really bad luck.
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