Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1265

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A game of the year poll that's super exciting! Makes me want a contest again.



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis, and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings (X-Stats) - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

LPF - Last Place Factor, which a term used in matches that have three or four entrants. Usually when there is an obvious choice for last place, that entrant performs weaker than usual since voters are smart enough these dates to put their votes on something that matters. A good example is Link/Shepard/Draven.

ASV - After school vote, which is usually the biggest trend in a poll other than the first hour and the morning vote.
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/1016-forum-mafia; http://i.imgur.com/dsnL40n.png

User Info: LusterSoldier

LusterSoldier
2 months ago#2
UltimaterializerX posted...
Hey Luster, what's the poll tomorrow? Any chance of a 1v1 rerun?


Typically, we get an upcoming original title (and sequel) poll right after the GotY polls, but I see nothing like that coming up based on known polls we've had in the past. Now, I'm only able to figure out the poll question of an upcoming poll if it matches the exact question of a previously run poll.
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ!

User Info: pjbasis

pjbasis
2 months ago#3
Oh s*** didn't realize this was gonna be a photo finish.

Go Final Fantasy!!
http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
My bracket got DP'd
Team Rocket Elite 2 months ago#4
We might get a poll about the Nintendo Switch conference which would be a unique question.
My bracket got smashed by DpObliVion.
Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the BGE15 Guru Contest!
UltimaterializerX 2 months ago#5
Where does the "FF15 is disappointing" narrative come from? The game is fantastic. Reminds me a lot of 12, except you're actually playing the game instead of auto battling.
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best Game Ever" Contest
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/1016-forum-mafia; http://i.imgur.com/dsnL40n.png

User Info: charmander6000

charmander6000
2 months ago#6
Based on how fast UC4 is dropping there's a rally going on.
Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the guru.

User Info: pjbasis

pjbasis
2 months ago#7
Take 10 years to come out and there's no way to not be disappointing to someone.

10 hours in and it's pretty great. Battle system is a still a little weird to me though. Feels like Last Story in that it's an action RPG where you're kinda auto-attacking instead of the usual 1:1 button press to attack feel.
http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
My bracket got DP'd

User Info: LusterSoldier

LusterSoldier
2 months ago#8
Team Rocket Elite posted...
We might get a poll about the Nintendo Switch conference which would be a unique question.


I could see tomorrow's poll being similar to this one (but for the Switch):

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/5091-

The Nintendo Switch conference won't be happening until 11:00 PM EST tomorrow night, so the January 13th poll should be directly related to the information revealed from the conference.
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ!

User Info: pjbasis

pjbasis
2 months ago#9
Times like these makes me want to get some friends and family to vote.

And then I come to my senses.
http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
My bracket got DP'd
Team Rocket Elite 2 months ago#10
charmander6000 posted...
Based on how fast UC4 is dropping there's a rally going on.


SM and FF15 just both had their best update in hours but still remained about equal with each other.
My bracket got smashed by DpObliVion.
Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the BGE15 Guru Contest!
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