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definitely luck. i see many who have never got another shiny other than gyarados/ppl who never got one legitimately/without RNG reporter. whereas i got 4 not including any of those things, and without the use of chaining Pokeradar.
It's the same whenever a new game comes out, more people are playing, so there's more people around to encounter shinies, so it seems like the they lowered the shiny rate when you see all the different topics.